The dominos in Johor
Johor is the last bastion of Barisan Nasional but the coming general
election may prove that the fortress may turn out to be merely a sand
castle.
If Pakatan Rakyat gets the support of 35 percent Malay, 80
percent Chinese and 50 percent Indian
voters in Johor, 20 parliamentary seats will fall like dominoes.
Hence,
Pakatan may gain the much-needed 112-seat threshold to form the next
federal government with just seats from Peninsula Malaysia.
In
the two rounds of seat re-delineation exercises in 1994 and 2003, many
multiethnic mixed seats were created for Barisan Nasional to maximise
its multiethnic appeal and to make the most out of the opposition’s
inability to win across ethnic boundaries.
PAS was made to be
seen by the Barisan-controlled media to non-Malays as an anathema to
their interests while DAP as a threat to the Malays.
Before 2008, PAS
supporters rarely vote for DAP and vice versa.
The 2008 general
election saw PAS benefiting from outpouring Chinese and Indian support
for the “anything but UMNO” call while some urban Malays voted for DAP
for the first time in their lives.
Many multiethnic seats in the states
north of Negeri Sembilan on the west coast of the Peninsula fell to the
opposition.
Full article: http://liewchintong.com/?p=5225
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